COVID-19 Journal
SARS-CoV-2
Three months ago, no one knew that SARS-CoV-2 existed. Now the virus has spread to almost every country, infecting at least 446,000 people whom we know about, and many more whom we do not. It has crashed economies and broken health-care systems, filled hospitals and emptied public spaces. It has separated people from their workplaces and their friends. It has disrupted modern society on a scale that most living people have never witnessed. Soon, most everyone in the United States will know someone who has been infected. Like World War II or the 9/11 attacks, this pandemic has already imprinted itself upon the nation’s psyche. — Ed Yong, The Atlantic
Journal
Wednesday, April 8, 2020
Us at 390k, estimate
Herd immunity viability still to be confirmed — 'For now, the KCDC’s director-general, Jeong Eun-kyeong, believes it is likely the infection was re-activated after remaining dormant in the patients, as opposed to them being reinfected, the report said.' — NY Post: 51 recovered coronavirus patients test positive again in South Korea, Yohnap News Agency
Friday, April 3, 2020
US at 245k at 7am pst. 278k at 7pm
1,480 virus deaths in 24 hours in US -Johns Hopkins
COVID tests are returning negative but they may be false negatives. recommendation for anyone showing symptoms is to self-quarantine regardless of test outcome — Wall Street Journal
5,000 medical masks that Montgomery County (Alabama) received from the national stockpile were rotted, the local emergency management director said Thursday — @benyc
Cloth masks are now recommended for all people wheneaving the house. Conflicting with earlier info claiming masks are ineffective — New York Tiumes
New York City now allows cremations to occur 24 hours a day due to significant increase in deaths. Some Crematory employees are requesting cardboard caskets —
Missouri declares stay-at-home order, effective Monday, April 6 [PDF]
Thursday, April 2, 2020
Us at 216k as of 7am, 245k as of 7pm
Today a map showed the us where people did and did not isolate and stop moving more than 2 miles. Many on social media were comparing the map to the county-level voting map from2016, of which there is neither correlation nor causation. The as ccurate relationship is that rural areas in the south don't have essential items within 2 miles of individuals homes so they need to travel farther. (See attached map)
6.6 million people applied for unemployment this week, bringing the total over the last two weeks to 10 million. Until last month, the worst week for unemployment filings was 695,000 in 1982, during the recession —
To the best of our knowledge (official unemployment numbers for March won’t come out until Friday, and they won’t properly account for the layoffs in the final week of the month), this is not yet the highest level of actual unemployment in history, with the recent Great Recession and the brief but intense recession of the early 1980s both seeing double-digit unemployment rates. But the high unemployment of those recessions reflected the accretion of months of job losses. This time around, the American job market was, as recently as the second week of March, totally fine. And then it began to unravel at a shocking pace, with huge swaths of the retail, food service, hospitality, and transportation industries shutting down —
Residents of Laredo, Texas are now legally required to wear some form of covering over their nose and mouth when entering into or inside of any building open to the public — @bradheath
The nation's top infectious disease expert said Thursday he doesn't understand why every state hasn't issued stay-at-home orders as novel coronavirus cases continue to surge across the US. — CNN
Wednesday, April 1, 2020
US @ 216k, Italy 110k, Spain 104k
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis issues stay at home order starting 4/2 and lasting for a month.
Dr. Anthony Fauci has received increased security detail due to continuing threats — Washington Post
Wednesday, April 1, 2020
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis issues stay at home order starting 4/2 and lasting for a month.
Dr. Anthony Fauci has received increased security detail due to continuing threats — Washington Post
Tuesday, March 31, 2020
US at 188k
Schools in CA won't open for remainder of school year — San Francisco Chronicle
CA vs NY comparison charts are compelling support for social distancing efficacy
Mitch McConnell claims impeachment distracted the President, calling into question whether elected officials should be able to manage more than 1 thing at a time.
Italy's cases levelled off at ~900 deaths per day
Monday, March 30, 2020
Hundreds of people dying in a day, makeshift hospital tents popping up in Central Park, bodies being loaded into refrigerated trucks, a Navy hospital ship pulling into the harbor—four weeks ago, this would have been dismissed as a wildly alarmist view of the coronavirus in NY. &emdash;@mckaycoppins
Sunday, March 29, 2020
US at 153k cases, deaths at 3k
Spain passed China with 97k
Trump went from saying the cases would be down to 0 (Early March) to “We should be congratulated if we keep deaths under 200,000”
Thursday, March 26, 2020
US is now the world leader in covid cases with 96k
Boris Johnson caught the virus, weeks after bragging about shaking everyone's hand at a hospital.
Trump said NY doesn't need 30-40k ventilators and they could have bought them 2 years ago if they wanted them.
Wednesday, March 25, 2020
65k cases in the US. New York set to overtake Lombardia in Italy
NY is in bad shape, with hospitals holding refrigerated trucks outside to contain the dead bodies. "It is apocalyptic"
New York expects ICU beds to be full by Friday, 2 days away
Monday, March 23, 2020
Trump considering ending social distancing and isolating the infected, despite sparse testing, because economic impact is more important than human life
This is likely to make the pandemic much worse and then cause economic collapse anyway
US surpassed Spain and France to become the third most infected county
Friday, March 20, 2020
Shelter in place is now mandatory in all of CA, by order from Gavin Newsom.
US trajectory for cumulative cases has steeply increased, putting us on track to be the worst in the world.
Thursday, March 19, 2020
abc
Tuesday, March 17, 2020
San Francisco and Santa Clara, among other counties, have shelter in place order, 1 step away from lock down or quarantine.
Coronavirus pandemic From 0 to 100,000 cases- 97 days. From 100,000 to 200,000 cases- 12 days
Sunday, March 15, 2020
Loosely covers march 5-15
Seattle is the epicenter of the US outbreak, with healthcare workers and infrastructure starting to become overwhelmed
The market tanked, leading to more concerns about recession and long term economic impacts. The FED injected $1.5 trillion to improve the market, by buying back debt (over simplification) but the market gains lasted less than an hour or two.
Last week, intitutions went from "all things will proceed" to "we'll operate in private with no large gatherings", to "cancelled or suspended". NBA, MLS, La Liga, EPL, Euro are all suspended or cancelled as of now. Major conferences like Coachella, SXSW, Google I/O, Apple WWDC are all either cancelled, online streaming or moved to Fall.
Italy and Spain are on complete lockdown after thousand day over day increases, with world counts nearing 200k today.
US banned travel to Europe on Friday/Sat
Iran hit hard- 5,000+ reported deaths, Satellite detection of mass burials. Situation is further exacerbated by existing sanctions, blocking medical supply procurement
US Timeline Jan-March:
Recommended Reading: Articles and Data Visualization
- Fauci: Mask-wearing recommendation under ‘very serious consideration’ —Politico, pending
- Despite Trump’s claims, the U.S. is far behind in coronavirus testing —Washington Post, March 27, 2020
- A Medical Worker Describes Terrifying Lung Failure From COVID-19 — Even in His Young Patients —ProPublica, March 21, 2020
- How the Pandemic Will End: The U.S. may end up with the worst COVID-19 outbreak in the industrialized world. This is how it’s going to play out. —The Atlantic, March 25, 2020
- Not Winning This Fight. This chart shows why. —The New York Times, March 31, 2020
- 13 Deaths in a Day: An ‘Apocalyptic’ Coronavirus Surge at an N.Y.C. Hospital —The New York Times, March 25, 2020
- Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance - What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time —The New York Times, March 19, 2020
- Red vs. Blue on Coronavirus Concern: The Gap Is Still Big but Closing —The Upshot by The New York Times, March 21, 2020
- New York state has 10 times the COVID-19 cases California has. Why? —San Francisco Chronicle, March 27, 2020